![]() The difference also has to do with “initialization,” Johnson said, which is determining the current weather conditions used as a starting point to feed into the models. We talked to some experts to break it down, ask if one model is really better than the other and find out what they think of weather enthusiasts picking a favorite. ![]() On Reddit recently, a user discussing the accuracy of American versus European forecasting models during Hurricane Dorian explained that they ride hard for UKMET, the numerical weather prediction model operated by the United Kingdom METeorological Agency, but that the “Euro and GFS are trash." They’d dismissed the wildly powerful, expensive and supercomputer-powered high technology of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the same tone one would clown an NBA player’s brick jump shot or a chicken sandwich that didn’t stack up to Popeyes.Īnother user noted the “strong showing” of the Canadian model in the sort of weather model horse race, but everyone seemed to ignore that person.Įven if you haven’t encountered the so-called “model wars” online, you may have heard the meteorologist on your local news refer to “the Euro" or “European model" and wondered what they were talking about. Today anyone can access a kaleidoscopic array of maps and charts and data on sites like, or the overwhelming Mike’s Weather Page (), which made Oldsmar resident and amateur weather enthusiast Mike Boyland a mild internet weather celebrity.
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